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The AGI Test 🎯

What's your AGI type?

When do you think AGI arrives? Pick one — get your archetype and see exactly where you land versus Musk, Aschenbrenner, Hassabis and Metaculus. Takes 30 seconds.

When do you think AGI arrives?
Your AGI type
Your AGI type share card
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Lock it and we'll tell you if the Tracker proves you right.

Want to know if your call was right? We track it — the live AGI-2027 Thesis Tracker moves only when real evidence lands.

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🎯 The AGI Test · See the live AGI-2027 Tracker on AGI Scorecard →

The five AGI types

🚀 The Accelerationist (AGI by 2026) — bolder than Elon Musk; betting compute scaling and agentic capability close the gap fast.
⏱️ The True Believer (2027) — exactly on Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness line; "counting the OOMs."
📊 The Realist (2028–30) — with Demis Hassabis; this decade, but past the 2027 focal point.
🤔 The Skeptic (2030s) — near the Metaculus community forecast; benchmarks overstate real-world generality.
🛡️ The Contrarian (2040+ / never) — with the broad academic survey; betting the trendlines break first.

Every archetype is anchored to a public forecaster position and to the evidence graded on the AGI Scorecard — the independent tracker of the falsifiable predictions in Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness. The headline AGI-by-2027 claim resolves January 1, 2028. See the live score →

FAQ

What is the AGI type test?
A 30-second test: you pick when you think AGI will arrive, and it maps you onto the real forecaster spectrum (Musk ~2026, Aschenbrenner 2027, Hassabis ~2030, Metaculus ~2033, academic survey ~2040) and gives you an archetype — Accelerationist, True Believer, Realist, Skeptic or Contrarian — with the case and the risk for your position.
Are the AGI types based on real data?
Yes. Each archetype is anchored to a public forecaster position and to benchmark evidence tracked on the AGI Scorecard (compute scaling, SWE-Bench, GDPval). No invented statistics.
When does the AGI-by-2027 prediction resolve?
The headline claim from Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness resolves January 1, 2028. The AGI Scorecard grades it and the other predictions against public evidence with pre-registered flip conditions.

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