Predictions are cheap. Positions are not.
The predictor's own bet: Aschenbrenner's fund
The author of "AGI by 2027" doesn't just predict — he runs Situational Awareness LP (~$20B AUM, >1000% two-year return per public reporting). His Q1 2026 13F shows a very specific thesis: long AI power & infrastructure (Bloom Energy $879M, CoreWeave, SanDisk) while holding ~$8.5B notional in puts against chip names — Nvidia (~$1.57B), the SMH semiconductor ETF (~$2B), Broadcom, AMD, Micron. The wave is real, he's betting — but chip valuations have overshot. Read the full holdings story → · How his predictions grade →
How 8 investing legends are positioned on AI
Snapshot from Q1 2026 filings (as of 2026-03-31; Burry per 2026-05 personal disclosure). Stances are our reading of their public AI-related moves, not their words:
| Investor | Firm | AI stance | Signature move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Buffett | Berkshire Hathaway | Cautious | Exited Amazon entirely; Alphabet +225% — the clearest AI bet; Apple untouched (~22%, #1) |
| Cathie Wood | ARK Invest | Bull | Aggressively long AI infra & next-gen compute: CoreWeave, Cerebras; nuclear (X-Energy) as AI's power base |
| Bill Ackman | Pershing Square | Bull | Bullish AI positioning per Q1 filings |
| David Tepper | Appaloosa | Bull | Bullish AI positioning per Q1 filings |
| Stanley Druckenmiller | Duquesne | Cautious | Cautious AI exposure per Q1 filings |
| Duan Yongping | H&H International | Cautious | Cautious AI exposure per Q1 filings |
| Philippe Laffont | Coatue | Cautious | Cautious AI exposure per Q1 filings |
| Michael Burry | Scion (wound down) | Bear | The clearest AI bear (per 2026-05 personal disclosure) |
Full profiles: Warren Buffett — the Q1 2026 great pivot · Cathie Wood — what ARK bought (more migrating each week).
Full investor profiles with per-holding notes, theses and sources live on our companion compass — AI Investing Compass → (bilingual; being merged into this section).
Tools in this section
AI-sector themes, legends' 13F positioning, and a consensus score per AI stock.
Open the Compass →Goal-based US-equity portfolio building with deterministic optimization + paper trading. Prototype.
Try Gushen →The information edge: is AGI-2027 actually on track? One auditable score.
Thesis Tracker (62.5/100) →Every dated AGI call on a live countdown — the claims behind the trades.
See the receipts →Why this section exists
AGI timelines aren't academic — trillions in capex, chip valuations and fund flows hinge on them. The scorecard grades the claims; this hub tracks the capital. Together they close the loop: research the thesis, see who's betting what, and use the tools — then make your own decisions.
Frequently asked questions
Per Q1 2026 SEC 13F filings: Warren Buffett's Berkshire exited Amazon entirely and boosted Alphabet 225% (its clearest AI bet); Cathie Wood is aggressively long AI infrastructure and next-gen compute; Bill Ackman and David Tepper lean bullish; Druckenmiller, Duan Yongping and Philippe Laffont are cautious; Michael Burry is the clearest bear.
Leopold Aschenbrenner — who predicted AGI by 2027 — runs Situational Awareness LP (~$20B AUM). Per its Q1 2026 13F, the fund is long AI power and infrastructure (Bloom Energy, CoreWeave) while holding roughly $8.5B notional in put options against chip names including Nvidia — betting the AI wave is real but chip valuations have overshot.
No. Everything in this section is educational information based on public SEC 13F filings and public statements. Holdings snapshots are quarterly and may not reflect current positions. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
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When 13Fs drop or an AGI verdict flips, we tell you what changed — free, no hype.
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