Twelve bold predictions about the next 15 years — AI, robots, Mars, aging, fusion. Tap YES if you bet it happens on time, NO if you don't. See which real forecaster you match — Elon Musk or a skeptic. 60 seconds, no sign-up.
You just made 12 predictions. Want to know which ones come true? We actually track the biggest one — the live AGI‑2027 Thesis Tracker moves only when real evidence lands.
Track the future with us →Your Future Bet score maps you onto the real spectrum of public AGI forecasters — from the boldest call to the most cautious. Every position is on the record.
The bets in this game are open predictions, so your answers are opinions. But the AGI question is one we grade for real. Here is where the public forecasts actually stand, as of mid-2026 — every call on the record, ranked from soonest to latest:
| Forecaster | AGI call | Profile |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk (xAI) | By end of 2026 | details → |
| Dario Amodei (Anthropic) | “Powerful AI” 2026–27 | details → |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner | AGI by 2027 | details → |
| Sam Altman (OpenAI) | Near-term; ASI “a few thousand days” | details → |
| Demis Hassabis (DeepMind) | ~50% by 2030 | details → |
| Metaculus community | 50% by 2033 | details → |
| Andrej Karpathy | ~A decade out (~2035) | details → |
| AI researcher survey (n=2,778) | 50% by 2040 | details → |
Positions as publicly stated; each links to its full profile with primary sources. The AGI‑2027 Thesis Tracker grades the live evidence at 62.5/100. No invented statistics.
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